Experimentation

Loading Required Libraries

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import requests
import json
import os
import mlflow
import datetime
import plotly.graph_objects as go
from great_tables import GT
import mlflow


from statsforecast import StatsForecast
from statsforecast.models import (
    HoltWinters,
    CrostonClassic as Croston, 
    HistoricAverage,
    DynamicOptimizedTheta,
    SeasonalNaive,
    AutoARIMA,
    AutoETS,
    AutoTBATS,
    MSTL

)

from mlforecast import MLForecast
from mlforecast.target_transforms import Differences
from mlforecast.utils import PredictionIntervals
from window_ops.expanding import expanding_mean
from lightgbm import LGBMRegressor
from xgboost import XGBRegressor
from sklearn.linear_model import Lasso, LinearRegression, Ridge
from sklearn.neural_network import MLPRegressor
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
from utilsforecast.plotting import plot_series
from statistics import mean

import backtesting as bkt

Data

Loading metadata:

raw_json = open("../settings/settings.json")
meta_json = json.load(raw_json)

meta_path = meta_json["meta_path"]
data_path = meta_json["data"]["data_path"]
series_mapping_path = meta_json["data"]["series_mapping_path"]

Loading the dataset:

df = pd.read_csv(data_path)
ts = df[["period", "subba", "y"]].copy()
ts["ds"] = pd.to_datetime(ts["period"])
ts = ts[["ds", "subba", "y"]]
ts = ts.rename(columns={"subba":"unique_id"})

GT(ts.head(10))

/tmp/ipykernel_2149/3287265490.py:1: DtypeWarning:

Columns (4,5,6,8) have mixed types. Specify dtype option on import or set low_memory=False.

ds	unique_id	y
2022-01-01 00:00:00	ZONA	1707.0
2022-01-01 01:00:00	ZONA	1673.0
2022-01-01 02:00:00	ZONA	1644.0
2022-01-01 03:00:00	ZONA	1605.0
2022-01-01 04:00:00	ZONA	1550.0
2022-01-01 05:00:00	ZONA	1487.0
2022-01-01 06:00:00	ZONA	1422.0
2022-01-01 07:00:00	ZONA	1373.0
2022-01-01 08:00:00	ZONA	1336.0
2022-01-01 09:00:00	ZONA	1317.0

fig = go.Figure()

for i in ts["unique_id"].unique():
  d = None
  d = ts[ts["unique_id"] == i]
  name = i,
  fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=d["ds"], 
    y=d["y"], 
    name = i,
    mode='lines'))
    
fig.update_layout(title = "The Hourly Demand for Electricity in New York by Independent System Operator")
fig

fig = plot_series(ts, max_ids= len(ts.unique_id.unique()), 
plot_random=False, 
max_insample_length=24 * 30,
engine = "plotly")
fig.update_layout(title = "The Hourly Demand for Electricity in New York by Independent System Operator")
fig

Models Settings

Loading the backtesting settings:

bkt_settings = meta_json["backtesting"]["settings"]
models_settings = meta_json["backtesting"]["models"]
leaderboard_path = meta_json["backtesting"]["leaderboard_path"]
mlflow_path = meta_json["backtesting"]["mlflow_path"]
models_settings.keys()

dict_keys(['model1', 'model2', 'model3', 'model4', 'model5', 'model6'])

exp = bkt.backtesting()
exp.add_input(input = ts)
exp.add_settings(models = models_settings, settings = bkt_settings)

exp.run_backtesting()

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.465e+08, tolerance: 5.713e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.472e+08, tolerance: 5.736e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.467e+08, tolerance: 5.718e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.472e+08, tolerance: 5.740e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.468e+08, tolerance: 5.722e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.473e+08, tolerance: 5.744e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.469e+08, tolerance: 5.727e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.475e+08, tolerance: 5.749e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.470e+08, tolerance: 5.732e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.477e+08, tolerance: 5.754e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.472e+08, tolerance: 5.736e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.480e+08, tolerance: 5.758e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.472e+08, tolerance: 5.740e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.487e+08, tolerance: 5.762e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.473e+08, tolerance: 5.744e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.488e+08, tolerance: 5.766e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.475e+08, tolerance: 5.749e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.489e+08, tolerance: 5.770e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.477e+08, tolerance: 5.754e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.490e+08, tolerance: 5.773e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.480e+08, tolerance: 5.758e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.491e+08, tolerance: 5.777e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.487e+08, tolerance: 5.762e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.493e+08, tolerance: 5.781e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.488e+08, tolerance: 5.766e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.494e+08, tolerance: 5.785e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.489e+08, tolerance: 5.770e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.496e+08, tolerance: 5.789e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.490e+08, tolerance: 5.773e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.497e+08, tolerance: 5.793e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.491e+08, tolerance: 5.777e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.498e+08, tolerance: 5.797e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.493e+08, tolerance: 5.781e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.499e+08, tolerance: 5.801e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.494e+08, tolerance: 5.785e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.500e+08, tolerance: 5.805e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.496e+08, tolerance: 5.789e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.501e+08, tolerance: 5.810e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.497e+08, tolerance: 5.793e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.503e+08, tolerance: 5.815e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.498e+08, tolerance: 5.797e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.504e+08, tolerance: 5.820e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.499e+08, tolerance: 5.801e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.506e+08, tolerance: 5.824e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.500e+08, tolerance: 5.805e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.507e+08, tolerance: 5.828e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.501e+08, tolerance: 5.810e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.507e+08, tolerance: 5.831e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.503e+08, tolerance: 5.815e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.509e+08, tolerance: 5.835e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.504e+08, tolerance: 5.820e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.511e+08, tolerance: 5.839e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.506e+08, tolerance: 5.824e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.512e+08, tolerance: 5.844e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.507e+08, tolerance: 5.828e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.513e+08, tolerance: 5.849e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.507e+08, tolerance: 5.831e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.515e+08, tolerance: 5.854e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.509e+08, tolerance: 5.835e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.516e+08, tolerance: 5.857e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.465e+08, tolerance: 5.710e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.471e+08, tolerance: 5.733e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.467e+08, tolerance: 5.714e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.472e+08, tolerance: 5.737e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.468e+08, tolerance: 5.719e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.473e+08, tolerance: 5.741e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.469e+08, tolerance: 5.723e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.475e+08, tolerance: 5.746e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.470e+08, tolerance: 5.728e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.477e+08, tolerance: 5.750e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.471e+08, tolerance: 5.733e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.479e+08, tolerance: 5.754e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.472e+08, tolerance: 5.737e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.487e+08, tolerance: 5.758e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.473e+08, tolerance: 5.741e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.488e+08, tolerance: 5.762e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.475e+08, tolerance: 5.746e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.488e+08, tolerance: 5.766e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.477e+08, tolerance: 5.750e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.489e+08, tolerance: 5.769e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.479e+08, tolerance: 5.754e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.491e+08, tolerance: 5.773e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.487e+08, tolerance: 5.758e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.492e+08, tolerance: 5.777e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.488e+08, tolerance: 5.762e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.493e+08, tolerance: 5.782e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.488e+08, tolerance: 5.766e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.495e+08, tolerance: 5.786e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.489e+08, tolerance: 5.769e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.497e+08, tolerance: 5.790e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.491e+08, tolerance: 5.773e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.498e+08, tolerance: 5.794e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.492e+08, tolerance: 5.777e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.498e+08, tolerance: 5.797e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.493e+08, tolerance: 5.782e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.500e+08, tolerance: 5.802e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.495e+08, tolerance: 5.786e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.501e+08, tolerance: 5.807e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.497e+08, tolerance: 5.790e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.503e+08, tolerance: 5.812e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.498e+08, tolerance: 5.794e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.504e+08, tolerance: 5.816e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.498e+08, tolerance: 5.797e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.505e+08, tolerance: 5.820e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.500e+08, tolerance: 5.802e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.506e+08, tolerance: 5.824e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.501e+08, tolerance: 5.807e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.507e+08, tolerance: 5.827e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.503e+08, tolerance: 5.812e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.509e+08, tolerance: 5.832e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.504e+08, tolerance: 5.816e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.510e+08, tolerance: 5.836e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.505e+08, tolerance: 5.820e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.512e+08, tolerance: 5.840e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.506e+08, tolerance: 5.824e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.513e+08, tolerance: 5.845e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.507e+08, tolerance: 5.827e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.515e+08, tolerance: 5.850e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.509e+08, tolerance: 5.832e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.516e+08, tolerance: 5.854e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.454e+08, tolerance: 5.684e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.460e+08, tolerance: 5.707e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.455e+08, tolerance: 5.689e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.461e+08, tolerance: 5.711e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.456e+08, tolerance: 5.693e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.461e+08, tolerance: 5.715e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.457e+08, tolerance: 5.698e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.464e+08, tolerance: 5.720e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.459e+08, tolerance: 5.702e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.465e+08, tolerance: 5.724e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.460e+08, tolerance: 5.707e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.468e+08, tolerance: 5.729e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.461e+08, tolerance: 5.711e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.475e+08, tolerance: 5.733e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.461e+08, tolerance: 5.715e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.476e+08, tolerance: 5.737e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.464e+08, tolerance: 5.720e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.477e+08, tolerance: 5.740e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.465e+08, tolerance: 5.724e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.478e+08, tolerance: 5.744e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.468e+08, tolerance: 5.729e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.479e+08, tolerance: 5.748e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.475e+08, tolerance: 5.733e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.481e+08, tolerance: 5.752e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.476e+08, tolerance: 5.737e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.482e+08, tolerance: 5.756e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.477e+08, tolerance: 5.740e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.484e+08, tolerance: 5.760e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.478e+08, tolerance: 5.744e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.485e+08, tolerance: 5.764e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.479e+08, tolerance: 5.748e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.486e+08, tolerance: 5.768e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.481e+08, tolerance: 5.752e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.487e+08, tolerance: 5.772e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.482e+08, tolerance: 5.756e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.488e+08, tolerance: 5.776e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.484e+08, tolerance: 5.760e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.490e+08, tolerance: 5.781e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.485e+08, tolerance: 5.764e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.491e+08, tolerance: 5.786e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.486e+08, tolerance: 5.768e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.492e+08, tolerance: 5.791e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.487e+08, tolerance: 5.772e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.494e+08, tolerance: 5.795e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.488e+08, tolerance: 5.776e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.495e+08, tolerance: 5.798e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.490e+08, tolerance: 5.781e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.496e+08, tolerance: 5.802e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.491e+08, tolerance: 5.786e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.497e+08, tolerance: 5.806e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.492e+08, tolerance: 5.791e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.499e+08, tolerance: 5.810e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.494e+08, tolerance: 5.795e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.500e+08, tolerance: 5.815e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.495e+08, tolerance: 5.798e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.502e+08, tolerance: 5.820e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.496e+08, tolerance: 5.802e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.503e+08, tolerance: 5.825e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.497e+08, tolerance: 5.806e+07

/opt/pydata-ny-workshop/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_coordinate_descent.py:697: ConvergenceWarning:

Objective did not converge. You might want to increase the number of iterations, check the scale of the features or consider increasing regularisation. Duality gap: 1.504e+08, tolerance: 5.828e+07

exp.log_backtesting(mlflow_path = mlflow_path, verbose = False)

Experiment ZONA exists
Experiment ZONA exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONB exists
Experiment ZONB exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONC exists
Experiment ZONC exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZOND exists
Experiment ZOND exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONE exists
Experiment ZONE exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONF exists
Experiment ZONF exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONG exists
Experiment ZONG exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONH exists
Experiment ZONH exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONI exists
Experiment ZONI exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONJ exists
Experiment ZONJ exists, pulling the metadata
Experiment ZONK exists
Experiment ZONK exists, pulling the metadata

GT(exp.score.head())

unique_id	label	type	partition	model	mape	rmse	coverage	model_unique_id	run_name	experiment_id
ZONA	model3	mlforecast	1	LGBMRegressor	0.04061693692326339	68.52491851348636	0.625	model3_LGBMRegressor	ZONA_2024-11-14 16-44-08	503574406548957241
ZONA	model3	mlforecast	2	LGBMRegressor	0.019687161225688667	40.91878092769071	1.0	model3_LGBMRegressor	ZONA_2024-11-14 16-44-08	503574406548957241
ZONA	model3	mlforecast	3	LGBMRegressor	0.025055961673488846	61.1604971447197	0.9583333333333334	model3_LGBMRegressor	ZONA_2024-11-14 16-44-08	503574406548957241
ZONA	model3	mlforecast	4	LGBMRegressor	0.01916874961405681	36.261419440693444	0.7083333333333334	model3_LGBMRegressor	ZONA_2024-11-14 16-44-08	503574406548957241
ZONA	model3	mlforecast	5	LGBMRegressor	0.03233409639958724	60.304071318839824	0.7083333333333334	model3_LGBMRegressor	ZONA_2024-11-14 16-44-08	503574406548957241

GT(exp.leaderboard.head(10))

model_unique_id	unique_id	label	model	type	partitions	avg_mape	avg_rmse	avg_coverage
model3_LGBMRegressor	ZONA	model3	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.040098970324506045	73.36477005214765	0.7833333333333333
model3_XGBRegressor	ZONA	model3	XGBRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.03855063491971511	69.98157700842836	0.7861111111111111
model3_LinearRegression	ZONA	model3	LinearRegression	mlforecast	30	0.04937646707717494	99.55011277990585	0.8069444444444445
model3_Lasso	ZONA	model3	Lasso	mlforecast	30	0.04942729345396898	99.69643396168277	0.8111111111111111
model3_Ridge	ZONA	model3	Ridge	mlforecast	30	0.04937646702188281	99.55011384317271	0.8069444444444445
model4_LGBMRegressor	ZONA	model4	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.033995695706055415	66.46816128219103	0.7861111111111111
model4_XGBRegressor	ZONA	model4	XGBRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.03447467275969529	68.58666516442366	0.8097222222222222
model4_LinearRegression	ZONA	model4	LinearRegression	mlforecast	30	0.040062568767642304	79.32225957331866	0.8
model4_Lasso	ZONA	model4	Lasso	mlforecast	30	0.04013085331847124	80.1257416264563	0.8013888888888889
model4_Ridge	ZONA	model4	Ridge	mlforecast	30	0.0400625679925881	79.32225875680007	0.8

GT(exp.top)

model_unique_id	unique_id	label	model	type	partitions	avg_mape	avg_rmse	avg_coverage
model6_LGBMRegressor	ZONA	model6	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.03118523009742319	60.78089682996367	0.8138888888888889
model6_LGBMRegressor	ZONB	model6	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.053179105343958644	64.487977506194	0.8236111111111111
model6_LGBMRegressor	ZONC	model6	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.06439837180274338	117.72222066078766	0.8097222222222222
model5_LGBMRegressor	ZOND	model5	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.038788037803889605	27.951120968561145	0.8166666666666667
model6_LGBMRegressor	ZONE	model6	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.07773763367186126	70.75692539865307	0.8013888888888889
model6_Ridge	ZONF	model6	Ridge	mlforecast	30	0.05534670074195196	80.18097506428832	0.7805555555555556
model6_LinearRegression	ZONG	model6	LinearRegression	mlforecast	30	0.05593840125726185	62.385198736150095	0.7944444444444444
model5_LGBMRegressor	ZONH	model5	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.05008190783461355	15.381295891865289	0.7791666666666667
model6_LGBMRegressor	ZONI	model6	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.03679169549823835	25.7436592120251	0.7861111111111111
model6_LGBMRegressor	ZONJ	model6	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.02375587179868485	153.83024858882663	0.7763888888888889
model6_LGBMRegressor	ZONK	model6	LGBMRegressor	mlforecast	30	0.040248045465186615	95.80134382001023	0.7763888888888889

exp.top.to_csv(leaderboard_path, index = False)